Name__________________________

Probability of Passing a Quiz When Only Guessing at the Answers                               

Grading Scale

Experimental Probability

_____/15 Understanding: Clear and deep understanding of the math. Record the class results of the quiz:
______/15  Fluency: Several different solutions.

# Students

# Correct

% Grade

P/F

______/15 Flexibility: More than one method to show a solution.       

       

______/15 Originality:  The ideas are your own.

       

______/15  Elegance:  Able to solve problem in an efficient way.

       

______/15 Generalizations: Look at the problem in broad terms. 

       
______/15 Extensions: Generate additional problems and questions.        

Total Score ______/100 (105 possible)

       

Experimental Probability

1)  Calculate the experimental probability found from the experiment/trial recorded above.

2)  Write a detailed explanation of how you found the experimental probability.

Theoretical Probability

3)      Show how to count all the outcomes for (or ways to answer) the 5 questions on the quiz.  Show all the methods you know for counting outcomes.

4)      Find all of those outcomes showing ways to pass the quiz

5)      Calculate the theoretical probability for passing the quiz. 

6)      Explain in detail how you found the theoretical probability.

Comparing Experimental and Theoretical Probability

7)      Write a paragraph exploring the similarities and/or difference between the experimental and theoretical probabilities.  Give an explanation about why they do or do not match.

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